服务粉丝

我们一直在努力
当前位置:首页 > 财经 >

微盟: 大客化战略稳扎稳打,视频号带来新增量

日期: 来源:天风国际收集编辑:天风国际机构研究

Weimob 

(2013 HK)


大客化战略稳扎稳打,视频号带来新增量


Steady rollout of large-customer strategy and video accounts adds incremental growth

BUY (maintain)


投资要点/Investment Thesis

投资要点/Investment Thesis

微盟:背靠腾讯,深耕企业级SaaS领域

两大核心业务(商家解决方案和数字解决方案);广告(精准营销):商家解决方案主要收入来源;线下SaaS:以智慧零售+智慧餐饮为核心,最重要看点;电商SaaS:小程序全渠道解决方案,订阅解决方案重要收入来源;微商城 v.s 智慧零售——对接不同需求商户


Weimob: backed by Tencent, pursuing extensive development in enterprise-level SaaS

Two key businesses: merchant solutions and digital solutions

•Merchant solutions

–Advertising (precision marketing) is the main source of income

–Micro malls vs smart retail: meeting the needs of a variety of merchants


•Digital solutions

–Offline SaaS: focus on smart retail and smart catering

–Ecommerce SaaS: mini-programs, omnichannel and subscription solutions are the main sources of income.


行业:行业竞争激烈,垂直企业不断入局

线下:线下零售增速放缓,亟需新增长点;根据国家统计局公开数据显示,过去的十年里,全国商品零售总额持续增长,但增速逐渐放缓;

线上:公域流量“越来越贵”-公域流量获客成本高企,营销效果受限;平台销售费用支出高企;直播带货的兴起亦未能逆转销售费用居高不下的趋势,公域电商的生意“越来越难做”。

构建私域成品牌营销共识-品牌私域运营流量价值凸显;微盟研究院问卷调查显示,微信成超九成品牌构建私域首选。微盟自有数据显示,品牌获取公域流量后,通过微信生态私域运营,广告投放ROI实现显著提升,分别在15天提升25%,30天提升47%,以及60天提升67%。



Industry: fierce competition and vertical market players continue to enter the business

Offline: growth rates are slowing in offline retail and the industry urgently needs new growth drivers. China’s retail sales of goods have trended up over the past 10 years but at gradually slowing rates, according to publicly available data by the National Bureau of Statistics.


Online:

Public domain business

•User traffic cost is getting “more and more prohibitive” as high customer acquisition costs limit marketing effectiveness.

•High platform sales expenses.

•The rise of livestream ecommerce has not reversed the high sales cost trend, pressuring profits in the “increasingly difficult” business of public domain ecommerce.


Private domain business

•Building a consensus around brand marketing highlights the value of private domain brand operations’ user traffic.

•Weimob Research Institute’s survey findings reveal that WeChat is the first choice for over 90% of brands to build private domains. 

•After acquiring public domain traffic, brands’ private domain operations on the WeChat ecosystem showed advertising ROI increases of 25% in 15 days, 47% in 30 days and 67% in 60 days, according to Weimob data.


成长逻辑:微盟如何破局?

成长空间之一:大客化战略—高客单、高留存、高增购。相比中小商家,大客户经营稳定、付费意愿强、续签率高、LTC/CAC更优,能够为微盟带来稳定的业绩增长。2020年12月份,微盟推出TSO全链路营销增长解决方案战略,帮助企业构建数字化营销、数字化系统、数字化运营三大能力。


成长空间之二:生态化战略三维同步推进;流量生态-不断拓展流量渠道,加速推进在不同行业、不同场景中的渗透。除腾讯系,微盟还和抖音、快手、小红书等流量平台对接。开发者生态—依托微盟云打造技术中台,通过微盟云平台,ISV可基于微盟的核心SaaS开放能力和扩展能力进行融合或通过微盟云平台进行二开,通过生态聚合、协同、赋能驱动商家和ISV实现双赢。投资生态—产业投资创造长期价值,微盟将通过公司直投、兼并收购、产业基金等方式拓展业务边界。


Growth catalysts: what are the ways by which Weimob can achieve breakthroughs?

Customer growth strategies

•Large-customer strategy

–Large customer orders, high retention and large purchases. 

–Relative to SMEs, large customers have more stable operations, higher willingness to pay, higher renewal rates and better LTC/CAC, which stabilize performance growth for Weimob. 


•TSO full-chain marketing growth strategy

–Weimob launched this initiative in December 2020 to help companies build three major capabilities: digital marketing, digital systems and digital operations.


Multi-spectrum synchronous ecosystem strategies

•User traffic ecosystem: expand traffic channels and accelerate penetration across different industries and scenarios. In addition to Tencent, Weimob collaborates with platforms such as Douyin (TikTok), Kuaishou and Xiaohongshu. 

•Developer ecosystem: building a technology platform via Weimob Cloud, which allows ISVs to integrate based on Weimob’s key SaaS open capabilities and expansion capabilities, or conduct secondary development through Weimob’s Cloud platform. Through ecosystem aggregation, collaboration and empowerment, merchants and ISVs mutually benefit. 

•Investment ecosystem: industrial investment creates long-term value. Weimob wants to expand its business boundaries through direct investments, M&A or industrial funding. 



投资建议/Investment Ideas


投资建议

维持“买入”评级。我们认为,公司业务自3Q22以来持续改善,防疫措施调整有利于公司业务持续恢复,腾讯视频号上线有望带来新增量。截至2023年2月21日,彭博一致预期公司22E-24E收入为21/26/31亿元,净利润为-10/-3/1亿元,维持“买入”评级。


Investment summary and risks

We maintain our BUY rating. We believe Weimob’s business has continued to improve from 3Q22E, with the optimization of China’s pandemic management measures and the launch of Tencent’s video accounts, which would have brought incremental growth. Bloomberg consensus (as of 21 Feb 2023) projects RMB2.1bn/2.6bn/3.1bn revenue in 2022/23/24E and RMB-1.0bn/-300m/100m net profit. 


风险提示:大客化进展不达预期;宏观经济波动;arpu与签约企业数量下降;相关测算基于主观假设,仅供参考


Risks include: weaker-than-expected outcomes for its large-customer strategy; macroeconomic volatility; as well as ARPU weakness and a decline in the number of contracted companies. Note: our calculations are based on subjective assumptions and are for reference only.

Email: equity@tfisec.com

TFI research report website: 

(pls scan the QR code)



之准确性负责。且天风国际集团不会就本文件所载任何资料、预测及/或意见的公平性、准确性、时限性、完整性或正确性,以及任何该等预测及/或意见所依据的基准作出任何明文或暗示的保证、陈述、担保或承诺而负责或承担任何法律责任。本文件中如有类似前瞻性陈述之内容,此等内容或陈述不得视为对任何将来表现之保证,且应注意实际情况或发展可能与该等陈述有重大落差。本文件并非及不应被视为邀约、招揽、邀请、建议买卖任何投资产品或投资决策之依据,亦不应被诠释为专业意见。阅览本文件的人士或在作出任何投资决策前,应完全了解其风险以及有关法律、赋税及会计的特点及后果,并根据个人的情况决定投资是否切合个人的投资目标,以及能否承担有关风险,必要时应寻求适当的专业意见。投资涉及风险。敬请投资者注意,证券及投资的价值可升亦可跌,过往的表现不一定可以预示日后的表现。在若干国家,传阅及分派本文件的方式可能受法律或规例所限制。获取本文件的人士须知悉及遵守该等限制。

相关阅读

  • 芦山县召开生态环境保护工作调度会

  • 3月8日,芦山县召开生态环境保护工作调度会。县委副书记、县长杨俊出席会议并讲话,副县长张泓主持会议。会上,芦山生态环境局通报了全县近期生态环境违法违规情况,就下一步污染防
  • 青海省“生态文明巾帼行动”结硕果

  •   “三八”国际劳动妇女节到来之际,在拥有140家入驻企业(工坊)和50多名工坊带头人的青绣数字化总部里,勤劳的绣娘们飞针走线,一派生机勃勃的景象。“青绣”品牌的发展壮大,是我

热门文章

  • “复活”半年后 京东拍拍二手杀入公益事业

  • 京东拍拍二手“复活”半年后,杀入公益事业,试图让企业捐的赠品、家庭闲置品变成实实在在的“爱心”。 把“闲置品”变爱心 6月12日,“益心一益·守护梦想每一步”2018年四

最新文章